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2024-12-13 11:51:24

On the weekend, the official media continued to warm up. Yesterday, A shares were tepid, and they were even maliciously smashed in the afternoon! As a result, after the close of trading, there was a favorable level of king explosion. At least the periphery has gone crazy, so how will A shares go today? How should we deal with it?Secondly, the status of the stock market has obviously risen, but the last 500 billion swap facility+300 billion loan repurchase just pulled the index to 3509 points. This time, the expectation lies in the medium and long term. In addition to fighting chicken blood in the short term, it is not as effective as the substantial payment in early November. Don't rush to chase after it.Hang Seng Index futures closed early, so the feedback was not the actual situation. The A50 futures index exploded by more than 4 points at the end of the session, and the night market rose by 0.84%, so today it depends entirely on the opening of A shares. If it exceeds 3,500 points, the benefits will be directly digested. Once the funds can't keep up, it should be a high probability event to open higher and go lower.


On November 8, I suggested that the reason for lightening the position was that if it continued to rise here, there would be a technical deviation at the daily level after closing at 3489.78 points. The same is true of the pressure now. As long as it closes at 3470.66 points today, it will form a technical deviation.What I want to express is very simple. The tone of this meeting is very positive, but it is beneficial to the medium and long term, and the short term may not be as radical as everyone thinks. At least today is suitable for holding shares, but it is not suitable for chasing up. Next, let's talk about my views from a technical point of view!Therefore, today's trend is very critical. If it is significantly higher, it will be directly opened near or above 3,500 points, especially if it can stand at 3,489.78 points at the close, then there will be multiple divergence structures here, and there will only be one way to accelerate the short-term, otherwise once the structure is formed, it may be very uncomfortable.


2. The new quality productivity ranks second this time. The key point is that last year, the construction of modern industrial system was led by scientific and technological innovation, and this time it has become the development of new quality productivity led by scientific and technological innovation. The new quality productivity has been repeatedly mentioned by Lao Liu recently, and the synthetic biology, commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy and the direction of Lu Yun mentioned yesterday deserve special attention.Therefore, today's trend is very critical. If it is significantly higher, it will be directly opened near or above 3,500 points, especially if it can stand at 3,489.78 points at the close, then there will be multiple divergence structures here, and there will only be one way to accelerate the short-term, otherwise once the structure is formed, it may be very uncomfortable.What I want to express is very simple. The tone of this meeting is very positive, but it is beneficial to the medium and long term, and the short term may not be as radical as everyone thinks. At least today is suitable for holding shares, but it is not suitable for chasing up. Next, let's talk about my views from a technical point of view!

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